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MLB  |  Aug 04, 2015
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers

Free Pick on Tigers -

Detroit is showing some great value here at basically a pick’em at home against the Royals, who have dropped 4 of 5. The biggest key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I believe favors the Tigers.

Whether it’s just a mini-stretch of success or sign of things to come, Detroit’s Justin Verlander has been dominant in his last 2 starts. Giving up just 1 earned run in 8 innings during both outings. I think it’s well worth the risk here to gamble on Verlander keeping it going and throwing another gem. He is 19-7 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.180 WHIP over 35 career starts against the Royals.

KC will counter with lefty Danny Duffy, who just gave up 5 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in 6 innings of a loss at Toronto. Duffy is just 2-3 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.426 WHIP over 7 road starts. Adding value here is the fact that the Tigers are hitting a strong .286 with a .354 OBP in 25 games this season against left-handed starters.

Tigers are 32-17 in their last 49 games after a win by 1 run, 37-16 in their last 53 home games against a left-handed starter and 42-19 in Verlander’s last 61 home starts against a team with a winning record. Take Detroit!

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