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MLB  |  Sep 23, 2014
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
in 11h

Tuesday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #909 St. Louis Cardinals (-130) over Chicago Cubs (Tuesday, 7:10pm EST)  We’re into the final week of the regular season and the St. Louis Cardinals are still battling to win the NL Central. The difference between winning the division and securing a wild card spot is huge, so the Cardinals will certainly be taking these games seriously and treating them almost like postseason games. The Cubs, on the other hand, are auditioning talent for 2015 and they have some nice young pieces that look promising. However, manager Rich Renteria isn’t as concerned about winning as he is about getting certain guys playing time. In addition to the motivation edge for St. Louis, they also have an edge on the mound. It may not appear that way based on the surface stats, but Shelby Miller is better than Kyle Hendricks at this point.  Miller has a 3.68 ERA on the season and is pitching better now than he has at any point this season. In his last five starts, Miller has a 1.09 ERA and 0.76 WHIP to go along with a 21-5 K/BB ratio. He also hasn’t walked a single batter over his last three outings. Hendriks enters this contest with a 2.28 ERA in 12 starts, but he’s been extremely fortunate in the process. He’s only striking out 5.2 batters per nine innings, but his results have been aided by a 79% strand rate and a very low home run rate. Things are also going to get tougher for him as the league gets a chance to see him a little more. This will be his third start of the season versus the Cardinals, so they know exactly what they’re dealing with at this point. The Cardinals are obviously the better team and I think we get some value with the pitching matchup.

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